Spiegelman introduced RNA from a simple bacteriophage Qβ (Qβ) into a solution which contained Qβ's RNA replicase, some free nucleotides, and some salts. In this environment, the RNA started to be replicated.[1][2] After a while, Spiegelman took some RNA and moved it to another tube with fresh solution. This process was repeated.[3]Of course you can argue over this particular experiment but you can't argue over the fact Lenski's experiments made more dysfunction than function -- that and numerous other experiments.
Shorter RNA chains were able to be replicated faster, so the RNA became shorter and shorter as selection favored speed. After 74 generations, the original strand with 4,500 nucleotide bases ended up as a dwarf genome with only 218 bases.
One evening at the Fitz Tunica casino, a lady playing blackjack at my table confided to me, “I’ve lost $500,000 playing blackjack. The entire inheritance my father left me,”. Her bankruptcy is like the bankruptcy of Darwinism.So I asked Darwinists a related question, how many net (animal) species a year are emerging via natural selection vs how many lost? I count a new species as a win, and lost species as a loss:
Jane’s eyes beamed as if she had just seen angels, “Yes! I’d do it over again. The fun was like nothing I’d ever known betting $500 a hand.”
Her story is not unique. Dealers tell me of patrons losing hundreds of thousands. One lady won $2,000,000 in a slot machine and then lost it all and went bankrupt. Then we have the high profile types in the news: Philadelphia Eagle’s owner Leonard Tose who lost $50,000,000 at the blackjack tables, Fry Electronics VP Omar Siddiqui who lost $120,000,000 in blackjack and baccarat, and heir of Oriental Trading Company Terrance Watanabe who lost $127,000,000 at the blackjack tables and slot machines.
At first I was reluctant to reveal in another thread, my somewhat checkered past in the casinos, but so many lessons in math and life were learned in those experiences. I also realized the gambling anecdotes would help spice up rather dry formalities of the ID discussion, and so I felt it was time to come out of the closet on those activities, because there are so many tales to tell that provide a unique perspective on the Darwin vs. Design debate.
These tales illustrate how people can be enamored with cherry picked data. Their brains enjoy the thrill of winning and somehow erase memories of their losses until it’s too late. Such are people with gambling problems, and such are those addicted to cherry picking data in defense of Darwinism.
So what does it take to lose $500,000 in playing blackjack? A Basic Strategy player at first has a fighting chance because her approximate disadvantage to the house (the casino) is a mere 0.5% per hand. With such a disadvantage a player like Jane can have a phenomenal run of luck lasting thousands of hands. Using CVCX software, I calculated if Jane had one standard deviation of good luck, she could ride good luck for 5000 hands and still be a winner. But over time, the casino’s house edge will slowly grind her into the ground.
What is the average number of hands needed for the casino to fleece her? Assuming she is betting an average of $500 a hand:
$500,000 / ($500 per hand * 0.5% ) = 200,000 handsPlaying 100 hands an hour, half a million dollars bought Jane 2,000 hours of “fun”. I tried to explain the math to friends and family members and tell them, “stay away from the casinos, especially slot machines — they have a 9% house edge.” Instead they persist in their delusional views.
Like Jane they relate stories of the money they won and almost forget the money they lost, but I know and the casinos know this tendency toward delusion. Were these people uneducated? No! One was an MBA in finance. I wanted to smack him and say, “of all people you should know, you can’t beat the games the way you’re playing.” Another was a PhD electrical engineering student at Urbana-Champaign. But the commitment to delusion is too powerful — expectation values, statistics, truth takes second place to what you want to believe. Reminds me of those who proudly exclaim, “we create our own meaning.”
Maybe their only reasonable hope of success is betting on the lottery, progressive jackpots, or multiverses. But those aren’t rational bets based on expectation, but rather desperation.
So Jane wins $500 on one hand and then loses $500 the next. The process goes on with glorious win streaks followed by miserable losing streaks, but all the while the house slowly fleeces the life out of Jane through the law of large numbers and casino expected value of 0.5%. The outcome is gambler’s ruin. If she had an accountant looking over her shoulder while she played the accounting would look on average something like this:
Wins: 49,750,000
Losses: 50,250,000
Net: -500,000
That's reality vs. Darwinism.Wins: 0
Losses: thousands
Net: -thousands
The 1st Jackpot Casino is the only Tunica casino without a hotel. The casino used to have a hotel, but it was demolished in 2017, along with the casino’s former name, “Bally’s.” The newly-branded 1st Jackpot has 899 slot machines and video poker machines, 16 table games, a small sportsbook, and three restaurants. IP Casino, Resort & Spa. Palace Casino Resort. Treasure Bay. Golden Moon. Silver Star Casino. Scarlet Pearl Casino Resort. Harlow’s Casino. Trop Casino Greenville. Island View Casino. Isle Of Capri Casino. Magnolia Bluffs Casino. 1st Jackpot Casino. Fitz Casino & Hotel. Gold Strike. Hollywood Casino. Horseshoe Casino. Sam’s Town. Tunica ... Sports betting is here in Tunica, and Hollywood Casino and 1st Jackpot Casino are your 50-yard-line ticket to real odds, points and over/unders. Relax and catch your favorite games on some of the area’s largest video screens and place your bets, while enjoying fantastic food and great drink specials! Do Game Day Right Casino With 40,000 square feet of space, 1st Jackpot Casino Tunica has everything you’d expect from a world-class casino, from the hottest slots, to popular table games and a high limit room with progressive jackpots. Less than an hour south of Memphis, Tennessee. 1st Jackpot Casino An odds-on-favorite, 1st Jackpot Casino Tunica offers an experience you won't soon forget. Our casino hosts approximately 900 slot machines, 16 table games and a sportsbook. Known for how comfortable we make our guests, you'll enjoy just how fun getting away from it all can be at 1st Jackpot Casino. Feature articles on casino hotels, slot machines, casino promotions, golf courses and more. This is the only website you'll need for Tunica casinos. Tunica Jackpot Winners 1st Jackpot Casino, Tunica: Address, Phone Number, 1st Jackpot Casino Reviews: 3.5/5 Hollywood Casino and First Jackpot Casino Tunica Guests at the two casinos owned by Penn National Gaming are required to respond to a health screening before entry and are encouraged to wear masks. Both Jackpot! South and Jackpot! Tunica are published every month and are packed with all the information you need to plan a winning trip to the casinos. Advertising information is also available online. Read Online. Jackpot! South. February 2021 ISSUE. 4 Million Annual Readers! Read Online. Win your share of $400,000 and 2021 Dodge! You could drive away with a brand new Charger (March 6) or Challenger (March 20) when you play at 1st Jackpot and Hollywood Casino Tunica! Earn entries in February and March – 10 tier points equals one entry. Plus – earn 20X entries on Wednesdays and up to 10X on Sundays!
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